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XAG/USD: Fibonacci analysis 26 May 2017, 14:10

XAG/USD: Fibonacci analysis 26 May 2017, 14:10 Scenario Timeframe Weekly Recommendation BUY STOP Entry Point 17.32 T...

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May 26, 2017

XAG/USD: Fibonacci analysis 26 May 2017, 14:10

 

Scenario
Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 17.32
Take Profit 17.45, 17.59
Stop Loss 17.20
Key Levels 16.65, 16.78, 16.88, 16.90, 17.10, 17.29, 17.43, 17.45, 17.49, 17.59
Alternative scenario
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 17.07
Take Profit 16.99, 16.90, 16.65
Stop Loss 17.20
Key Levels 16.65, 16.78, 16.88, 16.90, 17.10, 17.29, 17.43, 17.45, 17.49, 17.59
On the H4 chart the price reached the crossing between the line of the downward fan 38.2% and curve 61.8% with the resistance level of 17.29 (correction 50.0%). If it is broken through upwards, further growth to the levels of 17.45 (crossing with fan line 50.0%, correction 38.2% for D1, long-term trend) and 17.49 (correction 61.8%, correction 38.2% for D1, long-term trend) is possible. If the middle line of Bollinger Bands is broken through downwards (correction 50.0% for D1, short-term trend) the continuation of the fall to 16.90 (lower line of Bollinger Bands, correction 23.6% for D1) is possible.
On the D1 chart the price is moving to the level of 17.43-17.59 (correction 38.2%). In case of a reversal and breaking through the level of 17.10 (correction 50,0%) downwards, the price may correct to the levels of 16.88, 16.78, 16.65 (middle line of Bollinger Bands). However, currently growth seems more preferable.


Trading tips
Buy positions could be opened after the breakout of the level of 17.29 with targets at 17.45, 17.59. Stop-loss should be placed at 17.20.
Alternative scenario
The pair can be sold if the price consolidates below 17.10 with targets at 16.99, 16.90, 16.65 and stop-loss at 17.20.

USD/JPY: general analysis 26 May 2017, 13:26

 

Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 110.75
Take Profit 110.02
Stop Loss 111.00
Key Levels 109.35, 110.02, 110.84, 111.44, 112.16, 112.71
Alternative scenario
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 111.65
Take Profit 112.16, 112.71
Stop Loss 111.30
Key Levels 109.35, 110.02, 110.84, 111.44, 112.16, 112.71
Current trend
From the opening of the trading session the USD/JPY pair is rapidly lowering. In anticipation of the USA GDP data and Durable Goods Orders publication USD/JPY lost 0.68% and is testing the level of 111.00. Technical indicators reflect the growing influence of sellers: Bollinger Bands are diverging, confirming the downward trend; MACD histogram is in the negative zone and is rapidly growing.
It the sellers can consolidate the price below the level of 111.00; the new wave of sellings can develop to test the level of 110.02.
The upward trend can be confirmed after the consolidation of the price above the level of the middle line of Bollinger Bands (111.60), and in this scenario the pair will grow to the area of 112.16.
Today the US statistic will be published and is expected to be mixed. The YoY GDP is expected to grow to 0.9% in the 1 from 0.7% in the previous period. Durable Goods Orders index is expected to lower to -1.4% in April from 1.7% in the previous month.
Support and resistance
Support levels: 110.84, 110.02, 109.35.
Resistance levels: 111.44, 112.16, 112.71.


Trading scenario
Open short positions below the level of 110.84 with the target around 110.02 and stop loss at 111.00.
Open long positions open above the level of 111.60 with the target around 112.16, 112.71 and stop loss at 111.30

Brent Crude Oil: the market is disappointed by the decisions of OPEC forum 26 May 2017, 13:16

 

Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 52.00
Take Profit 52.75, 53.40
Stop Loss 51.70
Key Levels 49.70, 50.60, 51.00, 51.55, 52.75, 53.40, 54.65
Alternative scenario
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 51.50
Take Profit 51.00, 50.60
Stop Loss 51.80
Key Levels 49.70, 50.60, 51.00, 51.55, 52.75, 53.40, 54.65
Current trend
On Tuesday the price of Brent oil dropped to 2-week minimums to the level of $50 per barrel. This rapid fall was caused by the market's disappointment by the results of OPEC countries meeting in Vienna. The participants of the meeting decided to extend the OPEC+ agreement until March 2018 while keeping the reduction volumes at the level of 1.8 mln barrels a day. However, the market had already been aware of the 9 months extension several weeks before that, and had included it into the price. The participants of Vienna forum were expected to act more decisively, for instance, to extend OPEC+ by 12 months or to increase the volume of cuts. However, nothing like that happened, and this caused the disappointment of investors. According to the experts from Barclays, the recent decision of the cartel may help oil prices rise to $56 per barrel in the medium term, but positive factors for the increase of LTO production in the USA will remain.
Support and resistance
Technically, by now the price has risen above the level of 51.55 (correction 38.2%) and may continue growth to 52.75 (correction 23.6%) and 53.40 (middle line of Bollinger Bands). This is confirmed by Stochastic that is trying to leave the oversold zone and form a buy signal. In case the level of 51.55 is broken down, the fall may continue to the levels of 51.00 and 50.60. The reversal may be facilitated by today's publishing of weekly data on the number of oil rigs in the USA by Baker Hughes.
Support levels: 52.75, 53.40, 54.65.
Resistance levels: 51.55, 51.00, 50.60, 49.70.

Trading tips
In this situation, long positions can be opened from the level of 52.00 with targets at 52.75, 53.40 and stop-loss at 51.70. If the level of 51.55 is broken through downwards, short positions with targets at 51.00, 50.60 and stop-loss at 51.80. will become relevant.

Bank of America Corporation (BAC/NYSE/S&P500) 26 May 2017, 12:42

 

Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 23.55
Take Profit 23.90, 24.00
Stop Loss 23.30
Key Levels 22.50, 22.90, 23.20, 23.50, 23.75
Alternative scenario
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 23.15
Take Profit 22.80, 22.70
Stop Loss 23.40
Key Levels 22.50, 22.90, 23.20, 23.50, 23.75
Industry: Money Market Bank
Fundamental analysis
The Wall Street analysts expect the Bank of America income to grow by 7.2% in 2017, mainly due to the increase of the interest margin and the income from the trading activities and improvement of reliability of the bank loans. It is worth noting that the news of the Trump Administration success on the implementation of deregularization of the US Financial sector will provide an additional support to the Bank of America stocks.
The Reserve Bank of India, the country’s largest credit institution of assets, approved Bank of America and Deutsche Bank AG as underwriters for selling the bank stocks. The transition sum can reach the value of 2 billion USD.
During the last week Bank of America stocks grew by 2.24% against the growth of S&P 500 index by 1.30%.
Key levels
During the last trading sessions the issuer is trading flat. The technical picture is mixed at the moment. The key support and resistance levels are 23.20 and 23.50 correspondingly. The indicators don’t give a clear signal: the price is between 50 МА and 200 МА; MACD histogram is near the zero line. Open the positions from the key levels.
Support levels: 23.20, 22.90, 22.50.
Resistance levels: 23.50, 23.75.

Trading scenario
If the price is set above the resistance level of 23.50, the “bullish” moods can prevail. Stop loss is at 23.30. The price can move to 23.90-24.00.
If the price consolidates below the level of 23.20, the downward trend can develop. Stop loss is at 23.40. The price can move to 22.80-22.70.
Implementation period: 3 days.

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